Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 10.275288 11.850999 13.542651 15.488573 17.659712 20.002122 22.714822
2025-08-17 7.826265 9.879828 12.245736 15.152939 18.607636 22.559655 27.399053
2025-08-24 6.341011 8.590476 11.326857 14.860203 19.257612 24.503852 31.185054
2025-08-31 5.198997 7.499785 10.435467 14.391473 19.510986 25.835517 34.152498
2025-09-07 4.531165 6.905027 10.061517 14.472106 20.369288 27.866934 37.987317
2025-09-14 3.973040 6.374478 9.692422 14.485010 21.084525 29.692841 41.582990
2025-09-21 3.560067 5.990881 9.469604 14.647506 21.967700 31.734610 45.499575
2025-09-28 3.164496 5.580715 9.158995 14.640932 22.587108 33.417299 48.970235
2025-10-05 2.926559 5.381691 9.129504 15.017869 23.739825 35.846349 53.512411
2025-10-12 2.688699 5.153040 9.028347 15.267743 24.703558 38.030544 57.773752
2025-10-19 2.442313 4.880536 8.830633 15.346465 25.403276 39.849819 61.566982
2025-10-26 2.129155 4.455918 8.350476 14.945656 25.350093 40.567739 63.800725
2025-11-02 1.869132 4.098006 7.952169 14.650158 25.444860 41.511128 66.407320
2025-11-09 1.636572 3.761652 7.558641 14.329318 25.472942 42.343412 68.865753
2025-11-16 1.439396 3.467187 7.208839 14.049796 25.539139 43.218155 71.394786
2025-11-23 1.242768 3.146813 6.781457 13.602326 25.299718 43.601310 73.179786
2025-11-30 1.137657 3.002458 6.662889 13.679294 25.916206 45.318856 77.026617
2025-12-07 1.035419 2.850597 6.515622 13.691612 26.417956 46.864129 80.643565
2025-12-14 0.959262 2.746832 6.451325 13.846732 27.162715 48.811748 84.930218
2025-12-21 0.873410 2.608831 6.306336 13.840457 27.623438 50.310449 88.546542
2025-12-28 0.830880 2.568844 6.355869 14.200337 28.734130 52.892863 93.937138
2026-01-04 0.780246 2.502081 6.343669 14.438945 29.635974 55.154419 98.867904
2026-01-11 0.719754 2.401738 6.251380 14.514124 30.244086 56.942244 103.076209